Alaska Air Group has revised its Q1 2026 outlook, now projecting an adjusted loss per share of ($2.00) to ($1.50) due to rising fuel costs and regional demand disruptions in Hawaii and Mexico. The company expects an incremental EPS headwind of at least ($0.70) driven by surging refining margins, which is offsetting otherwise strong underlying demand and corporate bookings. This update highlights how external cost volatility and regional disruptions are materially impacting near-term profitability despite healthy travel trends.